There is a version of AI demand forecasting that plumbing businesses buy off a shelf and quietly stop using inside a month. Then there's the version that's wired into your real workflow, owned by a person on your team, and still in use a year later. We only build the second one.
Plumbing businesses · Applied AI
AI sales + stock forecasting, built around how a plumbing business actually works.
What AI demand forecasting actually does
Forecasts that account for school holidays, NZ weather, tourist seasons, and your own promo calendar. Order the right stock, roster the right hours, plan the next quarter with actual numbers.
- 01 Combines your sales history with weather, calendar, and event data
- 02 Per-SKU and per-store forecasts, not whole-business averages
- 03 Re-forecasts weekly as new data comes in
- 04 Explains the why behind every number
Built on: Prophet DuckDB Claude BigQuery Vercel
Without Kiwi Dynamics
With Kiwi Dynamics
Field notes
What years of building for plumbing businesses taught us.
- Plumbers lose jobs to whoever answers the phone first, and most calls come in while they're already under a sink.
- Missed calls, slow quotes, and unchased invoices are the three leaks that cost plumbing businesses the most money.
How we build AI demand forecasting for plumbing businesses.
We scope narrow, ship a working pilot, then harden it into production. The first slice is the highest-leverage workflow for a plumbing business business, so value lands before the build is finished. AI sales + stock forecasting.
Talk to usThe outcome for plumbing businesses
The shape of the result for plumbing businesses: Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season. Built on Prophet, hardened with the rest of the stack as it scales.
Not your typical AI agency.
Honest about what AI can and cannot do
Ships the one workflow that pays for itself
Hours given back, never the size of the invoice
*Every engagement is scoped and quoted up front. Results vary by workflow and business.
Questions
FAQ
How long does AI demand forecasting take to ship for plumbing businesses?
We aim for a working pilot inside 4-6 weeks – narrow scope, real plumbing businesses data, measurable outcome. From there it's another 6-8 weeks of hardening before you'd consider it production. Full rollouts (multiple sites, multiple teams) typically land in 3-4 months.
How do you price AI demand forecasting engagements?
Fixed-scope pilots first, then either project pricing or a small monthly retainer for the ongoing work. No long lock-ins, no 18-month black-box deals. Most plumbing businesses are surprised how small the first cheque is.
Anyone else in this space using AI demand forecasting?
Plenty. Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season. The interesting question is rarely "does it work" – it's "is your team ready to use the output." That's what we'd scope on the call.
Who owns the code and the model setup?
You do, on delivery. We deploy AI demand forecasting into your own cloud account where possible, with the model setup, prompts, evals and integration code all checked into a repo you own. Prophet sits in your account too – we don't operate it from ours.
The honest version of a sales call.
No deck. No discovery doc. Just whether this is worth building and what it would cost.
Get in touch
Talk to us about this
Tell us what you're trying to do and we'll reply with how we'd build it — no obligation.