AI demand forecasting in Kerikeri.
Built and supported here – the way a Kerikeri business would actually use it.
What this is
AI sales + stock forecasting
Forecasts that account for school holidays, NZ weather, tourist seasons, and your own promo calendar. Order the right stock, roster the right hours, plan the next quarter with actual numbers.
Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season.
How it helps your Kerikeri team
What you actually get.
- Combines your sales history with weather, calendar, and event data
- Per-SKU and per-store forecasts, not whole-business averages
- Re-forecasts weekly as new data comes in
- Explains the why behind every number
We've worked with enough operators in Kerikeri to know that the brief that arrives in our inbox is rarely the brief that ends up shipped. The first thing we do on any AI demand forecasting project is sit with your team for a day before we propose anything.
We'd call the engagement a success when Kerikeri teams are using the system without thinking about us. Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season.
Why Kerikeri businesses are a fit for this.
Kiwifruit, citrus, and a steady hospitality scene serving the Bay of Islands. AI tools that work in low-signal areas land best.
We work with teams in
What we build
AI demand forecasting, tailored to Kerikeri businesses.
- 01 Combines your sales history with weather, calendar, and event data
- 02 Per-SKU and per-store forecasts, not whole-business averages
- 03 Re-forecasts weekly as new data comes in
- 04 Explains the why behind every number
Common questions
Before you book the call.
How long does AI demand forecasting take to ship for Kerikeri businesses? +
We aim for a working pilot inside 4-6 weeks – narrow scope, real Kerikeri businesses data, measurable outcome. From there it's another 6-8 weeks of hardening before you'd consider it production. Full rollouts (multiple sites, multiple teams) typically land in 3-4 months.
How do you price AI demand forecasting engagements? +
Fixed-scope pilots first, then either project pricing or a small monthly retainer for the ongoing work. No long lock-ins, no 18-month black-box deals. Most Kerikeri businesses are surprised how small the first cheque is.
Do you have proof this works for Kerikeri businesses? +
Direct case study: Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season. Happy to walk you through full numbers on a call.
Who owns the code and the model setup? +
You do, on delivery. We deploy AI demand forecasting into your own cloud account where possible, with the model setup, prompts, evals and integration code all checked into a repo you own. Prophet sits in your account too – we don't operate it from ours.
Worth a conversation?
Even if you don't end up working with us, you'll leave the call knowing what's worth building.
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